Japan slips back to deficit as exports tumble 13 per cent

TOKYO – Japan’s trade balance returned to deficit in January, with a shortfall of 646 billion yen ($5.65 billion) as exports fell 13 per cent from the year before, led by an 18 per cent plunge in the value of shipments to China.

Customs data released Thursday show exports dropped to 5.35 trillion yen ($46 billion) while imports plunged 18 per cent to 6 trillion yen ($52 billion). The deficit compared with a surplus of 140.2 billion yen in December.

China’s economic slowdown has taken much of the steam out of the recovery, of the world’s third-largest economy. A report by the Japan External Trade Organization, released Wednesday, showed Japan’s total trade with China fell 12 per cent last year from the year before.

Exports of machinery to China fell 27 per cent in 2015 from the year before, reflecting a slowdown in manufacturing investment, while exports of chemicals, iron and steel and vehicles also dropped, the report said.

Overall, Japan’s exports to Asia also fell, by 18 per cent.

Japan’s exports to the U.S. slipped 5.3 per cent from the year before to 1.13 trillion yen ($9.8 billion) in January while imports fell 9.7 per cent to 584.8 billion yen ($5.1 billion).

Exports of transport equipment rose 26 per cent, with cars, trucks and ships showing strong growth. Machinery and chemicals exports also grew at a double-digit pace.

Japan has mostly run trade deficits since it closed nuclear reactors following the 2011 accident at the Fukushima Dai-Ichi plant and stepped up imports of oil and gas. The plunge in oil prices has helped reduce energy-related imports, which fell 45 per cent from a year earlier in January.

Adjusted for seasonal factors, Japan posted a surplus of 119 billion yen ($1 billion). But imports fell 5 per cent in volume terms while exports fell 9 per cent, said Marcel Thieliant of Capital Economics.

He said the trade balance would likely improve in coming months as the most recent dips in oil prices are gradually reflected in trade data.

“However, we expect crude oil prices to creep higher over the course of the year, so any further increase in the trade surplus should prove short-lived,” Thieliant said.