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Canada's westward shift backed by the numbers

If Canada stays on its current path, the West's slice of Canada will grow by 7%. Ontario's will shrink by 5%.

In the 2011 census population numbers released by Statistics Canada, Ontario was the only province to show a reduced rate of growth from the five years ended in 2006. Canada and nine of the provinces grew at higher rates with Newfoundland and Saskatchewan reversing prior census declines by registering growth in the five years ended 2011. Ontario, however, grew at 5.7% in the 2011 census, down from 6.6% in 2006 and less than the 5.9% for Canada as a whole.This is another indicator of the shuffle to the West in Canada.

The graph below applies these trends to a 20-year span. Ontario and Quebec had 38% and 24% of Canada’s total population respectively in 2011. The western provinces had 31% and Atlantic Canada 7%. By 2031, Quebec could lose a 2% share and Ontario a whopping 5%. Since Atlantic Canada retains the same share, Western Canada’s representation grows by about 7%. That means a lot more seats west of Ontario in the House of Commons.